Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.057803 2.461087 2.913526 3.457382 4.091978 4.807600 5.674224
2026-01-18 1.481300 1.993646 2.630559 3.475006 4.558990 5.896868 7.665397
2026-01-25 1.083967 1.612451 2.328426 3.357506 4.784491 6.676793 9.355904
2026-02-01 0.820620 1.332857 2.080698 3.232557 4.937312 7.337169 10.932131
2026-02-08 0.664461 1.166201 1.948184 3.226709 5.226936 8.188063 12.837479
2026-02-15 0.551000 1.038205 1.843968 3.233929 5.518402 9.053333 14.836090
2026-02-22 0.455454 0.918011 1.727006 3.194083 5.717588 9.783699 16.687744
2026-03-01 0.362619 0.781770 1.556610 3.032386 5.685650 10.130872 17.952301
2026-03-08 0.304622 0.698665 1.464873 2.990402 5.844032 10.793651 19.780938
2026-03-15 0.260121 0.632910 1.393384 2.971947 6.035930 11.523726 21.780814
2026-03-22 0.241994 0.619437 1.421533 3.146283 6.599574 12.952588 25.115690
2026-03-29 0.218454 0.588771 1.408914 3.236021 7.009214 14.137519 28.112339
2026-04-05 0.200564 0.568664 1.417468 3.374496 7.538338 15.607381 31.788330
2026-04-12 0.175237 0.524730 1.366198 3.378420 7.796609 16.590290 34.645995
2026-04-19 0.146272 0.464417 1.266473 3.259904 7.783929 17.042796 36.526062
2026-04-26 0.121895 0.410376 1.171651 3.137071 7.744170 17.432250 38.308968
2026-05-03 0.106954 0.379616 1.129203 3.131011 7.959414 18.357640 41.235186
2026-05-10 0.094619 0.353592 1.094330 3.137922 8.203641 19.363001 44.403436
2026-05-17 0.082215 0.324043 1.044476 3.099118 8.335300 20.136980 47.148042
2026-05-24 0.067669 0.283128 0.954757 2.941795 8.162181 20.225990 48.438181
2026-05-31 0.058822 0.259560 0.910884 2.900950 8.270038 20.949661 51.159560
2026-06-07 0.051776 0.240550 0.877130 2.882996 8.433103 21.812125 54.253193
2026-06-14 0.050051 0.241754 0.907165 3.052596 9.101157 23.904736 60.267654